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Old Fri Jun 09, 2017, 08:01am
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Posts: 71
Originally Posted by Rich Ives View Post

And in reality they just throw to 1B and F3 throws to 2B and the runner is out 98% of the time. I think people see this and think it has to be done this way.
98% is pretty extreme, as I mentioned there are several factors that go into the first move lefty play. What I know most of the time is that when we are stealing 2b straight, the rule of thumb is "no jump no go" - and with LHP guys often get bad jumps trying to go straight, there are just some lefties and situations its very difficult to run...but...

If you have certain things in play:
1. Lefty with high slow deliberate pick to 1B
2. Usually a slow, not great throwing RH 1B who needs to catch, clear lane and throw. Its usually tougher for a RH1B, because the lefty is easier and sometimes almost already positioned with their throwing arm forward to be in the throwing lane to covering SS.
3. SS who doesnt break to cover at the time of the pick and is late to get over

But you are right, if these factors are not there, your gonna get gunned down pretty easily a large majority of the time.
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balk, pickoff, unoccupied base

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