R1 steals to second base-another bad call

[His High Holiness]

Originally posted by Carl Childress

You'll note that in a season, 75% of the MLB plays the camera judges were called wrong occurred on a steal of second when U2 chose B with R1.

Regards:

Very interesting statistic. It only becomes meaningful if we know the percentage of MLB umpires who make the call from B rather than C. If 75% of MLB umpires make the call from B then one would expect that 75% of the misses would be from B. OTOH, if 90% of MLB umpires make the call from B, but only 75% of the misses are from B, then B is, in fact, the superior position.

The 75% statistic that you quote implies that B is the inferior position. That is true, if and only if, less than 75% of MLB umpires work from the B position when calling out steals from first.

BTW, I happen to agree with Carl's conclusion. I only wish that we had complete statistics to back it up.

Peter