Change to PI? - The Official Forum

#14 (permalink)

Thu Aug 22, 2013, 04:12pm

w_sohl

I drank what?

Join Date: Dec 2001

Location: Winter Garden, FL

Posts: 1,085

First down probability

I'm a little cornfused. Can someone with a statistics background better explain this chart?

Advanced NFL Stats: First Down Probability

I would think that break even is at 50%. Also, wish the graph had all the lines. I'm also assuming that .6 on the chart is 60%

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Last edited by w_sohl; Thu Aug 22, 2013 at 04:40pm.

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