Camron Rust |
Tue Mar 15, 2016 07:59pm |
Quote:
Originally Posted by BadNewsRef
(Post 984267)
I've heard that calling outside of your primary is only 70% accurate, not 70% wrong.
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I could believe that. Your accuracy may drop, but it doesn't disappear. If it did, there would be little value in reviewing any video that didn't include 3-4 angles. Either way, I'm guessing the number is just made up or generated after someone viewed a relatively small set of plays and not a large comprehensive study. Furthermore, depending on the point you want to prove, a lot of judgement calls could be classified either way (as correct or incorrect), significantly skewing the results.
The question to ask then, regarding situations outside of your primary, would be whether it is better to call something or not call something. If you make the all, you'd be right 70% of the time and be wrong 30%. But, to not make that call you'd be wrong 70% of the time but be right 30% of the time. If officials are patient when calling outside of their primary, and only go get something they're confident in and believe needs to be called, it seems that the better option, at least regarding contact, is still to make the call since you're still much more likely to be right than wrong.
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