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I don't think they have anything to do with each other. Experience is the key factor...if you're seeing plays over and over...you're more prone to not to get fooled by the player. Now does playing experience help with the learning curve? It can. But I also don't think, for example, Leon Wood's ( current NBA official) former experience as an NBA player somehow gives him an upper hand on Joe Crawford.
Everything you've alluded to can be learned by experience aka seeing plays (and something that experience comes the hard way) and if you're fortunate enough, through watching film.
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Chaos isn't a pit. Chaos is a ladder. Many who try to climb it fail and never get to try again. The fall breaks them. And some, given a chance to climb, they refuse. They cling to the realm, or the gods, or love. Illusions.
Only the ladder is real. The climb is all there is.
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