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If the defender is moving towards the opponent, then he's going to be responsible for the contact and get the foul 90+ percent of the time. The only time you should consider going offensive in this situation is if the offensive player does something overt...leads with an elbow, foot, or something non basketball related. Also if the defensive player jumps off clear to the side and would have avoided the offensive player were it not for the angle in which he jumped, one could also go offensive foul here.
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Chaos isn't a pit. Chaos is a ladder. Many who try to climb it fail and never get to try again. The fall breaks them. And some, given a chance to climb, they refuse. They cling to the realm, or the gods, or love. Illusions.
Only the ladder is real. The climb is all there is.
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