I think there's one point on which we can all agree: all of our comments so far are conjecture. We don't really know what the NBA bargaining agreement contains, what Tim really is going to reveal and how anyone in the gambling industry will actually react.
Having said that, let me add to the conjecture. Tim will say a few refs gambled from time to time, but not on games. Stern will strike a deal with those refs that if they admit it, he will designate it "bad judgment" and they'll get a slap on the wrist if they promise not to do it again. Stern will continue to push Vegas as an NBA location and the whole thing will soon blow over, until Tim's trial. However, at that point, media focus will be on the mob, not on the NBA or Vegas.
My conjecture is based on my knowledge of Vegas - my grandparents lived there (my grandfather worked in the casinos) and I spent many summers there during my teen years plus I lived there for a while - and also my intimate knowledge of The Sopranos.
The fun part will be when mob figures appear on TV with their hats over their faces. I used to see this happen a lot in my old neighborhood on the South Side of Chicago when I was a kid.
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Yom HaShoah
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