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Fair/foul is the first concern. That wasn't an issue in the enciting play since it was a footrace to the bag.
So, assuming it's clearly foul....
The plate umpire has two bases, second and third: R2's touch of second (always) and any subsequent play on him at that base! U1 is stuck at first: He will P2R, see the play is going to first and move at once to a good position for the play there. That means he cannot backpedal for any play at 2nd should R1 overrun that bag.
A good plate umpire can get into position between the mound and third such that he has a reasonable, two-man look at the third world that happens when....
The crew must prepare for a collision and a ball that's jarred loose. (On a side note: PBUC and Evans say when the fielder beats the runner to the bag, he's out instantly; Roder says if the ball is jarred loose, "Safe!" is the call.)
BTW: I was the FIRST certified clinican in Texas and trained the first class of clinicians. So there are at least three in the Forum.
We teach our plate umpire to focus on the following plays: "Everybody's got to get his own" in that instance.
There's an important psychological reason for not involving the PU, which is: R2, R1, same play. U1 cannot abandon second but he is responsible for first. That means the plate umpire MUST hit the road for third. It's a force play, to be sure, but runners have beat the force play and become over-zealous.
The alternative is to leave poor U1 out to dry: "Hey, Bubba, you got all the bases while I read the stock market report."
Psychological? A field umpire who becomes inured to getting his own calls is likely to ask for help when EVERYBODY's mechanics have sent the PU away from any reasonable angle.
On maybe foul/maybe fair, what I do when I'm the plate umpire is start cussing the assignor for sending me to that game.
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