Rules committee boss: Men's college hoops headed for 30-second shot clock

[JRutledge]

None of this is going to change the skill of the players. You still have to make shots.

Peace

[jpgc99]

Originally Posted by JRutledge

None of this is going to change the skill of the players. You still have to make shots.

Peace

Rather than increasing scoring, it will just decrease FG%

[JRutledge]

Originally Posted by jpgc99

Rather than increasing scoring, it will just decrease FG%

It could have little or no affect on FG%, I just do not see it increasing scoring by much. Coaches over manage the clock or there teams. All this is going to do is kick the can down the road and then they will find something else IMO that will be the blame for low scores.

Peace

[JetMetFan]

Originally Posted by JRutledge

None of this is going to change the skill of the players. You still have to make shots.

Peace

Amen. If you can't shoot, making teams shoot in less time just means more bad shots.

I'm a numbers geek so I looked at a few things:

*3 of the top 6 scoring teams in men's D1 history for a single season played before the shot-clock/3-point line (UNLV in '75-76 and '76-77 and Oral Roberts in '71-72). The other three were the Loyola Marymount teams from '87-90 and they started shooting when they walked into the gym.

*11 of the top 15 single-season FG% teams in men's D1 history played before the shot-clock/3-point line. Of the four that didn't, only one played with both the shot-clock and the 3-point line (Michigan's '89 championship team) and at that time the shot-clock was 45 seconds.

What that says to me is if you have the talent and you can shoot, score and run a decent offense, you'll do it regardless of whether there's a shot-clock. The UNLV teams in the mid-70s averaged just over 100 PPG with no shot-clock and only scoring by 1s and 2s. Walking the ball up the court + allowing players to beat the hell out of each other = less scoring.

[OKREF]

FG% will go down, teams will just try to run up and down the floor, it will be like a constant fast break. Teams already shoot the ball poor, just more bad shots coming.