The Official Forum  

Go Back   The Official Forum > Basketball
Register FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Rate Thread Display Modes
  #1 (permalink)  
Old Tue Mar 19, 2013, 04:02pm
Official Forum Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Katy, Texas
Posts: 8,033
Just did the napkin math on just the first round (2nd is more complicated as I can't just assume 1 vs 8, 2 vs 7, etc - but have to go by the same percentages I calc'd for each upset in the first round).

I used the following odds:
1 vs 16 = 99.99%
2 vs 15 = 96%
3 vs 14 = 92%
4 vs 13 = 85%
5 vs 12 = 72% (I was tempted to say 50/50 given the oddities we've seen on these over the years)
6 vs 11 = 66%
7 vs 10 = 60%
8 vs 9 = 53%

You are 27,574 times more likely to get a perfect bracket than what was posted above. (I'll work on adding the other rounds, but it's more than napkin math) Or 334 trillion to 1.
__________________
I was thinking of the immortal words of Socrates, who said, 'I drank what?'”

West Houston Mike
Reply With Quote
  #2 (permalink)  
Old Tue Mar 19, 2013, 08:44pm
9/11 - Never Forget
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 5,642
Send a message via Yahoo to grunewar
MD - what are the odds of Robert Morris beating Ky in round one of the NIT?

Anyone see the flagrant 2 w/ 3:41 left in the game? Yikes.
__________________
There was the person who sent ten puns to friends, with the hope that at least one of the puns would make them laugh. No pun in ten did.
Reply With Quote
  #3 (permalink)  
Old Wed Mar 20, 2013, 08:16am
Official Forum Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: A little east of there.
Posts: 650
Quote:
Originally Posted by grunewar View Post
MD - what are the odds of Robert Morris beating Ky in round one of the NIT?

Anyone see the flagrant 2 w/ 3:41 left in the game? Yikes.
It's being talked about around the water cooler this morning at work.

Does anyone have a video link?
Reply With Quote
  #4 (permalink)  
Old Wed Mar 20, 2013, 08:18am
Courageous When Prudent
 
Join Date: Jan 2006
Location: Hampton Roads, VA
Posts: 14,956
Quote:
Originally Posted by #olderthanilook View Post
It's being talked about around the water cooler this morning at work.

Does anyone have a video link?
You haven't looked very hard.
__________________
A-hole formerly known as BNR
Reply With Quote
  #5 (permalink)  
Old Wed Mar 20, 2013, 08:19am
Official Forum Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: A little east of there.
Posts: 650
Quote:
Originally Posted by BadNewsRef View Post
You haven't looked very hard.
Touche'

I just finished watching it in the official thread.
Reply With Quote
  #6 (permalink)  
Old Wed Mar 20, 2013, 09:05am
Fav theme: Roundball Rock
 
Join Date: Nov 2000
Location: Near Dog River (sorta)
Posts: 8,558
Quote:
Originally Posted by MD Longhorn View Post
Just did the napkin math
Geek!


(Which I appreciate. )
__________________
Pope Francis
Reply With Quote
  #7 (permalink)  
Old Wed Mar 20, 2013, 05:05pm
Esteemed Forum Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Connecticut
Posts: 23,406
Baby Needs A New Pair Of Zigs ...

I'm in. Go Cardinals.



Who do I send my money to? Mark Padgett?

Also. How does one pronounce the capital of Kentucky? "Louis-ville", or "Louie-ville"?
__________________
"For God so loved the world, that he gave his only begotten Son, that whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have everlasting life." (John 3:16)

“I was in prison and you came to visit me.” (Matthew 25:36)
Reply With Quote
  #8 (permalink)  
Old Wed Mar 20, 2013, 05:07pm
AremRed
Guest
 
Posts: n/a
Quote:
Originally Posted by BillyMac View Post
Also. How does one pronounce the capital of Kentucky? "Louis-ville", or "Louie-ville"?
It's pronounced "Frankfort".
Reply With Quote
  #9 (permalink)  
Old Wed Mar 20, 2013, 05:32pm
Aleve Titles to Others
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: East Westchester of the Southern Conference
Posts: 5,381
Send a message via AIM to 26 Year Gap
Quote:
Originally Posted by seanwestref View Post
It's pronounced "Frankfort".
You can count on that just like the annual off topic baseball thread and jbdukefan showing up after the dookies are bounced out.
__________________
Never hit a piñata if you see hornets flying out of it.
Reply With Quote
  #10 (permalink)  
Old Thu Mar 21, 2013, 06:50pm
9/11 - Never Forget
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Northern Virginia
Posts: 5,642
Send a message via Yahoo to grunewar
Oh, the Madness!

18 seconds into the South Dakota State vs Michigan game, Mich at the line shooting the second of two FT's......TWEEET, lane violation on SDS. Shoot again.
__________________
There was the person who sent ten puns to friends, with the hope that at least one of the puns would make them laugh. No pun in ten did.
Reply With Quote
  #11 (permalink)  
Old Sat Mar 23, 2013, 09:52am
Esteemed Forum Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Connecticut
Posts: 23,406
Doctor, Doctor, Give Me The News ...

Quote:
Originally Posted by 26 Year Gap View Post
The annual off topic baseball thread.
I probably haven't been less excited about the Red Sox since the winter of 1966-67. I'm a Red Sox fan, and at this point, I couldn't list their starting lineup. What's wrong with me? Am I slowly becoming a Liverpool FC soccer fan? Is this fatal? How much time do I have left?
__________________
"For God so loved the world, that he gave his only begotten Son, that whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have everlasting life." (John 3:16)

“I was in prison and you came to visit me.” (Matthew 25:36)

Last edited by BillyMac; Sat Mar 23, 2013 at 10:07am.
Reply With Quote
  #12 (permalink)  
Old Wed Mar 20, 2013, 05:07pm
Adam's Avatar
Keeper of the HAMMER
 
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: MST
Posts: 27,190
Quote:
Originally Posted by BillyMac View Post

Also. How does one pronounce the capital of Kentucky? "Louis-ville", or "Louie-ville"?
Either is equally correct.
__________________
Sprinkles are for winners.
Reply With Quote
  #13 (permalink)  
Old Fri Mar 22, 2013, 07:00am
Esteemed Forum Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Connecticut
Posts: 23,406
Loaded Question ...

Quote:
Originally Posted by BillyMac View Post
How does one pronounce the capital of Kentucky? "Louis-ville", or "Louie-ville"?
Quote:
Originally Posted by Adam View Post
Either is equally correct.
Very thoughtful answer Adam. How do you answer the question, "So, Adam, have you stopped beating your wife"?
__________________
"For God so loved the world, that he gave his only begotten Son, that whosoever believeth in him should not perish, but have everlasting life." (John 3:16)

“I was in prison and you came to visit me.” (Matthew 25:36)
Reply With Quote
  #14 (permalink)  
Old Fri Mar 22, 2013, 08:29pm
Aleve Titles to Others
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: East Westchester of the Southern Conference
Posts: 5,381
Send a message via AIM to 26 Year Gap
Guess when I return to camp at FGCU there will be some new banners...
__________________
Never hit a piñata if you see hornets flying out of it.
Reply With Quote
  #15 (permalink)  
Old Sat Mar 23, 2013, 09:53am
Official & Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Florida
Posts: 1,380
Cinderella is from Ft. Myers? Who knew?

Quote:
Originally Posted by 26 Year Gap View Post
Guess when I return to camp at FGCU there will be some new banners...
I'm praying for a UF/FGCU matchup. I'm guessing their first win is going to boost attendance...and they won't be confused with Gulf Coast Community College any more.
__________________
Calling it both ways...since 1999
Reply With Quote
Reply

Bookmarks


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
ESPN TOurnament Challenge 26 Year Gap Basketball 163 Tue Apr 05, 2011 07:57am
espn tournament challenge 26 Year Gap Basketball 214 Mon Apr 05, 2010 01:00pm
ESPN Tournament Challenge BktBallRef Basketball 80 Tue Apr 07, 2009 04:13pm
ESPN Tournament Challenge BktBallRef Basketball 97 Mon Apr 03, 2006 05:52pm
ESPN Men's Tournament Challenge BktBallRef Basketball 42 Thu Mar 18, 2004 04:15pm


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:44pm.



Search Engine Friendly URLs by vBSEO 3.3.0 RC1