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The problem with imaginary (hypothetical) sample plays is that they are usually full of a lot of potential "ifs" that everyone can interpret differently. Hopefully, everyone considers each of the "ifs" that they visualize in considering their reaction and response, and comes to a conclusion on what they perceive happened.
Unfortunately, for someone who has painted a different perception, your conclusions may not make as much sense, or seem as clear, as that different perception suggests.
We can only make rational judgments on what we see (or perceive we see based on someone else's description. Each perception may have a different correct assessment.
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