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I have found that if I get into the deep "B" position, (grass line or near baseline) that this, contributes to the problem you are talking about. Your too close to the bag and you have more distance to cover while watching the ball and getting into position for that good view.
Setting up 3-5 ft inside the grass line/ baseline or approximately half way between mound and baseline, along a line which connects the plate with the edge of the pitching mound, enables you to watch the release of the ball and step behind the mound after the ball has passed. You should end up halfway between 2nd base and the mound or even a step more towards the "C" position. Come set and then take a step or two to make your call.
When you open up to second you will have an excellent view of the base for all situations and the one or two steps will give you time to analysis what you observed, and in the end, perception that you were closer to the play.
Now if while watching the throw(a must) and you can see that it is off, so be it and adjust accordingly. This will require more hustle than the "camp out at second BU" but, I always considered that as part of my job.
Bottom line is you have to get into position while observing the throw that will take you to the play or not. The perception of making a call for a pickoff play at first, in the "C" position, is going to eventually burn you even if the correct call is made.
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