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Originally Posted by jTheUmp
Exactly the opposite. If in doubt, rule a fumble/recovery/return and let replay come in and overrule and say the runner was down prior to the fumble anyway.
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Ah. I'd forgotten replay could be used that way already. I figured that would be the effect when that came in.
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(I heard a statistic somewhere that in something like 85% of the close fumble/down cases, the correct ruling is a fumble).
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There's no sharp dividing line between control & lack of control of the ball, it's always a matter of degree. Usually you'll see that the ball starts to move relative to the player's grip a bit before it frankly comes out, so that may be the basis for the above statement.
In games where replay is in use, do you have a different standard as to how late is a late hit than you do in games where it's not?