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FED doesn't (explicitly) make a distinction. NCAAW does (AR 104)
Plus, it would be impossible to tell in real life whether the ball "had a chance" on a pass that is heading toward the backboard. (the AR even recognizes this)
So, IRL, 3 points in both plays.
By some strict reading of the rule, only 2 points in NCAAW in play 1.
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