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I think I misread the play originally, too.
If the original "throw" has any chance of going in the basket (there's enough force to get the ball above 9 feet and the direction will take it within 10 feet of the basket), then count it as three.
If the original "throw" has no chance, then count it as two.
The rule change was put in place to allow for a "missed alley-oop" pass to count for three points.
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