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I think most of us use the philosophy that we would not give a player the benefit of the doubt if his "error" cause the situation. In this case, the player made an error (dropped the ball) so there is no reason to lean toward giving him a catch and forward progress. We also don't want to give a cheap turnover and TD either so the best call is incomplete.
In the first play, at full speed I couldn't see well enough to know how I would have ruled. In the second one, I would have called it incomplete.
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