See NF S&I Book, page 81
Ed, check out the S&I book on page 81 for an example of this type of play. The kicker is not a kicker until the ball is actually kicked, hence there can be no roughing of the kicker until the ball is kicked. So, if the contact thought to be roughing occured prior to the kick, it is not roughing. It could be a foul still, but not roughing, or running into the kicker.
The statement about "reasonably certain" a kick will be made is a warning to the defender that he should be prepared for a kick, and should pursue a different path to the ball or lay off. It also means that if it is not reasonably certain a kick will be made, then roughing the kicker should not be called.
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