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IMO, this is a HTBT play, and the key issue is when is the runner avoiding a tag? Stopping, even retreating, when the fielder ahead has the ball is not avoiding a tag; you cannot be avoiding a hypothetical tag until one is attempted. AHA!! The key, I think, is that a tag must be attempted; once that happens, the base path is established, and the 3' variation avoiding the tag in any direction, including a reversal when forced, can be enforced.
Prior to the attempt, being forced doesn't require a runner to run into a future tag. After all, the play made may remove that force.
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Steve
ASA/ISF/NCAA/NFHS/PGF
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