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Originally Posted by Robert Goodman
No, they still might decline it because they may be willing to sacrifice 1 point for field position should A's punt reach the goal line.
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I can buy that. B wants A to kick closer to the GL to cause A to have a higher chance of earning that single point, for the benefit of the 15 extra yards B'll get. If the rouge causes A to now be winning by 5 instead of 4, for example, there is no difference in strategy: B still needs a major to win.
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Originally Posted by Robert Goodman
Against a kicker who's good at hitting the corner in any code, you should never decline that penalty because it just puts them closer to their target. However, some teams don't have anyone with that accuracy -- they have one kind of punt, and if they try for the corner or to shorten it they might get an outright shank -- and if you know the other team's kicker is like that, then you should take the penalty, provided you aren't bothered by the chance they'll reach the line to gain, and provided that in Canadian football you can afford that 1 point.
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Yes, I agree. B would have to know the stats on A's punter.
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Originally Posted by Robert Goodman
What if they do punt, and a penalty against you from the previous spot puts them beyond it? So there are lots of reasons to take the penalty, but it's still not an obvious choice.
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This however, is an entirely new situation. If there is a time count foul, there cannot be any Team B penalties applied. (Let's leave OC, UR, NM, and RP out of the mix - which are stupid at any point in the game, and no more or less stupid on this particular play.)