Sat Mar 10, 2007, 09:59am
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In Memoriam
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: Hell
Posts: 20,211
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JugglingReferee
So a shooter tries a 3 and is fouled by 5 opponents simultaneously.
Missed:
0 points + possible 10 points [5 opponents * 2 shots/opponent] = 10 points maximum
Made:
3 points + possible 5 points [5 opponents * 1 shots/opponent] = 8 points maximum
Now, take into FTA% and 3FGA%. Most people shoot around 75% from the stripe. So, in case [missed], 0 + 10 * 0.75 = 7.5 points on average; and in [made], 3FGA% ~ 30% (agree?), which is 0.3* 3 + 5 * 0.75 = 0.9 + 3.75 = 4.65 points on average.
However, it comes down to a comparison between one's %ages.
Let x = % of FT
Let y = % of 3FG
[missed] 10x
[made] 5x + 3y
Break it down:
10x = 5x + 3y
5x = 3y
x = 3/5 y
if x > 3/5 y, then [missed] is better
if x < 3/5 y, then [made] is better
if x = 3/5 y, it is a wash
QED
Edit: change the formula in italics. My excuse was that I was trying to leave work...
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I have no idea what you're talking about, so here's a picture of a bunny with a roll of toilet paper on his head.
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