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No OBS on this play.
On grey's derivative - if runner slows, it IS OBS, even if in your judgement the throw would have beat her. The rule makes no exception for instances in which the runner would have likely been out anyway without the OBS.
Partial reason for this may be that even in the case where the throw would have beaten the runner, if the runner slowed, she made the catch easier for F2, whereas if she hadn't slowed, the play might have been more bang-bang and F2 might have had a harder time making the catch and tag.
The rule is - if the fielder's illegal act caused the runner to react, it's OBS.
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