ESPN Tournament Challenge
 

Group Name: Officials Forum
Password: Zebra

I hope I don't finish last.

http://games.espn.go.com/tournament-...entryID=126068

Thanks Gapper.

Should be a wide open field this yr.

I was in it at the end last yr!

Hope I can be as lucky this time around.......

Readng, Riting, Rithmetic ...
 

I've got the Jim Calhoun, and University of Connecticut, going all the way. Wait? I'm being told that the players almost never actually go to classes and that there have been some changes in the Constitution State. Never mind.

Chat Room:

Chat Room - Join a Free Chat Room or Get Your Own Free Chat Room From ParaChat

I'm in.

It's Official Forum, 26YG! (I spent a good minute trying to figure out why it couldn't find a group called "Official Forum.")

Never mind. I figured it out.

Don't worry...I just signed up, so you won't finish last.

In like Flynn.

I am in. Already calling my winner: the FLORIDA GATORS!

Is that like not reading the rule book?:D

Let HAVOC ensue!!

I'm in... looking forward to the tournament!!

It's "madness", Lcubed....MADNESS....as in March Madness.

Well, actuall, March Havoc does have a nice ring to it. ;)

FYI - Havoc is VCU's buzz word for their style of play.

I'm old school (not to mention just plain old) when it comes to March Madness. :D
However, feel free to go with March Havoc! Don't forget my royalty check for the Havoc portion of the name. Yon can PM me with your account number and pin number. ;);)

I love it! This should be a lot of fun.

(I'll hang on to that banking info) :p:D

I'm in :)

Women's Challenge info-
Group Name-Officials Forum
Password-Zebras

Have fun everybody

https://encrypted-tbn3.gstatic.com/i...S_fDsccuidbOyw
Fixed it for ya! No charge!

Awesome. Mr Annoying Grammar Guy is now the Grammar Fairy. :D

Watch Bullwinkle Pull A Rabbit Out Of His Hat ...
 

Wrong. It's the Fractured Fairy Tales fairy. Didn't you watch cartoons in the 60's?

A No-tell motel...
 

Wasn't that on the Berlin Turnpike?

Norman Bates Slept Here ...
 

And just how does a Floridian know about the seedy past of the Berlin Turnpike? Over the years the Berlin Turnpike has been cleaned up considerably, although we recently had an on duty police officer meet his "girlfriend" at one of motels on the pike. He parked his marked, light barred, black and white, police cruiser behind the motel so that nobody would spot the car. And a few weeks ago a Mom pulled out her handgun to settle a dispute among kids at Chuck E. Cheese.

Thanks. Grammar corrections are free. :)

Long Time Forum Reference.......
 

Tell us you're not REALLY......

...and George Washington slept there too.
 

I grew up in and around Berlin...and the Turnpike was still pretty seedy when I left.

See? It's not just me.

sorry for the typo-I try to use the same info as the mens challenge but made a typo.Nice catch Gap

No, I'm not that guy, really!

Unlikely Liberty, with 15-20 record, clinches NCAA berth

Somewhere, a bubble team just got bounced!

The Magic Number ...
 

I guess that the baseball analogy that a pitcher must be pretty good to lose twenty games doesn't work here?

If I can avoid it, he's certainly not in my rotation when the playoffs start!

link at the top
 

Never a duh moment around here.

Than yo :D

The middle one applies here.
 

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/H926TwAkhjM" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

Maryland over Duke, Syracuse over Georgetown......let the madness begin!

Pretty soon, jbduke will show up.

They was robbed......Duke haters, all of you! :eek:

I suspect that there will be a wider variety of picks for the champion this year. Much wider.

Let's Get It On!

What are you waiting for? Kentucky to get in?
 

Bracket is ready for your picks.

Don't say I didn't try to help......
 

Here we go again
 

I have Michigan State. Should be a good tourney if the season is any indicator.

I picked all of the teams from Texas to win every game they were in, and never had any conflicts. Go Texas!

May be as good a system as any this season! Good luck!

(You're aware there are NO Texas teams in this tourney...)

With this WIDE OPEN field, you STILL may do better than some! :p

Let's see here - the following original "Big 8+4" teams are IN:

Colorado
Missouri
K State
Kansas
Iowa St
Okie St
OU

and these are OUT:

Texas
aTm
TCU
Baylor

:D

Too bad Nebraska couldn't find their way into the Dance to make this illustration even sweeter.

I could do well or I could flame out miserably.

Just like every other year.

My brackets usually look pretty good.....right up until game time of the first play-in game. Then it all goes to heck in a hand-basket! :)

In all of my brackets I have Louisville. Then I listened to half an hour of a rant no ESPN about how Louisville has the toughest road and there's no way they get there --- I am now more confident in my pick.

I would reply with an in-depth analysis of the Southwest Conference... but it would go something like this:

"Nothing to report here. Move along."

From USAToday.....
 

The odds of you filling out a perfect bracket this year are a staggering 1 in 9.2 quintillion. That's a nine with 18 zeroes or 9,223,372,036,854,775,808 if you're not into the whole rounding thing.

How big is that?

• That's one billion, 9.2 billion times.

• It's 500,000 times more than our $17 trillion national debt.

• You'd have a better chance of hitting four holes-in-one in a single round of golf.

The 1 in 9.2 quintillion number is straight mathematics. It figures out how many possible ways the 63 game results on your bracket could be filled out. (Two to the sixty-third power.)

I've seen this math before, and honestly, it's quite inflated. Statistics classes in me coming back to mind...

The assumption there is that each game has exactly a 50% chance of hitting either result. But that's not true at all. Take the 1-seed vs 16-seed games as the extreme example. I suppose the chance of a 1 seed losing is not exactly zero, but it's damn close. Take as a given (near 100%) that the picker will pick 4 1-seeds to win, and 4 1-seeds do actually win, your odds of a perfect bracket become 16 times greater ... a mere 576.46 quadrillion to 1.

For each set of matchups, the odds are not 50-50, and for each of those that are not, if you also assume that the picking people mirror somewhat the actual odds (and not 50-50), the odds of the overall package improve.

(For an example of that, consider 4 games with 75% odds, say, 4 4-13 matchups:

The odds of getting these 4 correct are not 1 in 2^4 (1/16 = 6.25%) but rather 15.2587891%. 2.44 times greater than expected. Those 4 games change the overall odds to (just) 236.25 quadrillion.)

Do that for each round of matchups, and the odds of a perfect bracket are actually MUCH greater than 9 quintillion.

Just did the napkin math on just the first round (2nd is more complicated as I can't just assume 1 vs 8, 2 vs 7, etc - but have to go by the same percentages I calc'd for each upset in the first round).

I used the following odds:
1 vs 16 = 99.99%
2 vs 15 = 96%
3 vs 14 = 92%
4 vs 13 = 85%
5 vs 12 = 72% (I was tempted to say 50/50 given the oddities we've seen on these over the years)
6 vs 11 = 66%
7 vs 10 = 60%
8 vs 9 = 53%

You are 27,574 times more likely to get a perfect bracket than what was posted above. (I'll work on adding the other rounds, but it's more than napkin math) Or 334 trillion to 1.

MD - what are the odds of Robert Morris beating Ky in round one of the NIT? ;)

Anyone see the flagrant 2 w/ 3:41 left in the game? Yikes.

[QUOTE=MD Longhorn;885403]I've seen this math before, and honestly, it's quite inflated. Statistics classes in me coming back to mind...

The assumption there is that each game has exactly a 50% chance of hitting either result. But that's not true at all. Take the 1-seed vs 16-seed games as the extreme example. I suppose the chance of a 1 seed losing is not exactly zero, but it's damn close. Take as a given (near 100%) that the picker will pick 4 1-seeds to win, and 4 1-seeds do actually win, your odds of a perfect bracket become 16 times greater ... a mere 576.46 quadrillion to 1.

For each set of matchups, the odds are not 50-50, and for each of those that are not, if you also assume that the picking people mirror somewhat the actual odds (and not 50-50), the odds of the overall package improve.

(For an example of that, consider 4 games with 75% odds, say, 4 4-13 matchups:

The odds of getting these 4 correct are not 1 in 2^4 (1/16 = 6.25%) but rather 15.2587891%. 2.44 times greater than expected. Those 4 games change the overall odds to (just) 236.25 quadrillion.)

Do that for each round of matchups, and the odds of a perfect bracket are actually MUCH greater than 9 quintillion.[/QUOTE]

Senator Everett Dirksen would have been proud.

It's being talked about around the water cooler this morning at work.

Does anyone have a video link?

You haven't looked very hard. ;)

Touche'

I just finished watching it in the official thread. :o

Geek!


(Which I appreciate. :))

Baby Needs A New Pair Of Zigs ...
 

I'm in. Go Cardinals.

http://ts4.mm.bing.net/th?id=H.48872...18779&pid=15.1

Who do I send my money to? Mark Padgett?

Also. How does one pronounce the capital of Kentucky? "Louis-ville", or "Louie-ville"?

It's pronounced "Frankfort".

Either is equally correct.

You can count on that just like the annual off topic baseball thread and jbdukefan showing up after the dookies are bounced out.

Oh, the Madness!
 

18 seconds into the South Dakota State vs Michigan game, Mich at the line shooting the second of two FT's......TWEEET, lane violation on SDS. Shoot again. :eek:

Loaded Question ...
 

Very thoughtful answer Adam. How do you answer the question, "So, Adam, have you stopped beating your wife"?

Guess when I return to camp at FGCU there will be some new banners...

I throw my chair at the interviewer.

I wonder who is on your short list of interviewers.

Baby's Not Gonna Get A New Pair Of Shoes ...
 

I had Wisconsin going all the way to the regional finals, and I had Georgetown going all the way to the national semifinals.

http://ts3.mm.bing.net/th?id=H.45113...86662&pid=15.1

I already sent my entry fee to Mark Padgett. Does the Forum allow do-overs?

Doctor, Doctor, Give Me The News ...
 

I probably haven't been less excited about the Red Sox since the winter of 1966-67. I'm a Red Sox fan, and at this point, I couldn't list their starting lineup. What's wrong with me? Am I slowly becoming a Liverpool FC soccer fan? Is this fatal? How much time do I have left?

Cinderella is from Ft. Myers? Who knew?
 

I'm praying for a UF/FGCU matchup. I'm guessing their first win is going to boost attendance...and they won't be confused with Gulf Coast Community College any more.

Learn From The Best ...
 

Are the interviewers short, or is the list short?

yes

Werd

22 for 32 in the round of 64 and only 5 for 8 on Saturday but my Elite 8 is still in tact :D

My bracket even has a theme song....
 

Cue Tom Petty's "Free Falling."

All I have to say is, Go Creighton!

FGCU...is that a credit union???
 

Three FL teams in the sweet 16...not bad for a football state. FGCU vs. UF. Eagles are my new favorite team. Didn't have them in my bracket, but they are fun to watch.

Ole Miss is my first Elite 8 squad to go down. Shouldn't hurt too bad since I doubt too many folks had LaSalle or Wichita in that spot.

Like any great official I'm consistent. :D

11-5 Thursday
11-5 Friday
11-5 Saturday/Sunday

:cool:

Sounds like you are a U2 on Saturday......just average!!!!!
.
I'm 23'for 32 and then 10 for 16......guess you are my U2!!!!! :D:D:D

Wow, thought Indiana would kill me but nobody won more than 2 games last night.

As of now, all my final four are still in it. I think this is the latest that's ever been true for me ever (and very likely to stay true through tonight, with Florida and Louisville playing FGCU and Oregon, teams they have no business losing to).

My champ is through to the Final 4. Finally off page 2. Gators & Louisville still alive, too. Hahvahd took care of my other pick.

A good run while it lasted. Congrats. Very impressive. I'm buried deep!

I'm done. Indiana failed me. I knew better. I hate the Hoosiers.

Go Louisville
 

I need Louisville to win or I'm going O fer the FF...

Embarrassing !!!!!

We all need Louisville to win or it will be a week of Dook Vitale.

Louisville would give me two in the Final Four. Unfortunately, I'm already out of the title game, so this game is my last chance for any points.

And for the record he picked Louisville to win the game today.

Anytime Duke loses it is a good thing. ;)

Peace

Dick Vatale is annoying regardless of what he's saying; but it is even worse when he's crowing about Coach Kalimazoo.

I turn off the sound whenever he's on anymore.

I personally like Dickie V's enthusiasm and passion for the game. But I certainly see why that gets on people's nerves.

Peace

Mixed emotions.

Become an FHSAA Official, Umpire, or Referee - Your Local High Schools Need Umpires and Referees!

So who do I call to get registered in Florida? Will it be a problem if I can't make a game by 5:00 because my plane is late?

You know some pilots who need to log air time. Stop your whining.

Yeah, but those birds only have one seat.

Wichita St.....
 

Did anybody have the Shockers in the FF?????

Everyone still alive has either Louisville or Michigan winning it all. Except for one guy who picked Syracuse over Louisville. ;)

I don't know how it is possible that with my crappy Sweet 16/Elite 8 picks I am currently tied for 7th and if Louisville wins I will finish tied for 4th. Shows you how bad folks brackets were this year.