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NBA Officials
There have been countless articles both in the print and broadcast mediums concerning the betting/game fixing/point shaving scandal in the NBA. I desparetly hope that none if it is true. I have had the good fortune to officiate for far more years (36 years through 2006-07 and still counting) than I ever expected, and to have achieved a level of success that well over 95% of all officials never get to acheive, it is very saddening to read that this kind of thing could actually happen in our profession.
I personally know one NBA official and two WNBA officials and everybody on this forum knows that scrutiny that today's NBA officials undergo (having each and every play they make a yes or no decision analyzed). My own personal belief is that it is extremely difficult for a three-man officiating crew could alter the outcome of a game at any level let alone one official in a crew. I hope that the accusations are false and whether they are true or not, I hope that our profession will whether the storm and being even stronger for it. I think that we should let the investigation take its course and reserve judgement until then. MTD, Sr. |
I dunno, Mark....
I sympathize, but there's one helluva lot of smoke coming out for there to be no fire....we shall see.... |
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We may be guessing, but I'm sure Stern isn't. He's already seen what the FBI has. I think ESPN is carrying Stern's news conference at 11 am Eastern today. |
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I think everyone will agree that calls/no-calls at every level are subjective. It is very difficult to review a game film and say with 100% certainty that a call should have gone the other way. An official, if he wanted to, could also impact the game, spread and total points early in the game. Suppose Wade gets popped for a couple of fouls (legitimate) by your partners...then all I need to do is make one bogus call on him and go against him in a bang-bang play and he has to sit because of foul trouble. I am of the opinion that while the officials in the NBA are, for the most part, the best there is that a big part of getting to that level (maybe even as important as you officiating ability) is who you know, being in the right place at the right time and you personality. You can be the best official alive, but if you are a butt head and act aloof you are probably not going to advance. I also firmly believe that any collection of people (regardless of the profession) is going to have roughly the same proportion of "characters" and flaws as the general population. I think we are also finding out that the glorious "evaluation" process in which they participate has some flaws...possibly serious flaws. As canuckrefguy said...there is a lot of smoke. While he is innocent until proven guilty in the legal system...in the court of public opinion he is already toast. That may be sad and wrong, but it is reality and the consequences of the decisions he apparently made. |
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I'm not ready to convict the guy, because I don't have any evidence at all. But I'm sure that Stern does. We'll probably find out in about 20 minutes. |
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Of course neither of us know what we're talking about so I'll go ahead and give you *my* take. Stern is facing a huge sh1tstorm with this story and he's more than willing to identify and publicly hang any scapegoats that will help his case. Regardless of what evidence he may or may not have seen. |
Stern is giving a press conference right now.
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Got it on www.sportsline.com
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Granted, Stern isn't Nifong, and doesn't face disbarment if this all goes south for the feds; but it doesn't make Stern's statement any more credible. Like I said, if this all goes south for the feds, Stern is going to owe an apology to this official. Edited to mark #4000. Me and Pete Rose, baby. Now, what are the odds that this thread gets to 50 posts? |
I think we can all agree that Stern's #1 priority right now is to protect the League - and if he can do that by throwing this official under the bus, then he will do it in a heartbeat and worry about any apologies he has to make later when and if that time comes...
On a side note, I have led discussions at camps and training sessions for both officials and teachers (my real job) in which I have pointed out that as a ref (or teacher) we are held to a higher standard than the general public (coaches, players, parents, whatever)...but that does NOT mean that everyone who becomes an official (or teacher) is above reproach, and it is our job to make sure that we "police" ourselves so to speak...if this guy was doing these things, someone should have known and figured it out and blown the whistle on him...I find it very hard to believe that no one had a clue and everyone was taken by surprise as Stern keeps saying. They had to know there was something strange going on... |
I wonder if the NBA wasn't approached in the midst of the investigation to attempt to gather evidence using the NBA's evaluation system. That might explain Stern's confidence in Tim's guilt.
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I couldn't say that 20-25 years ago. That's one of the reasons that I don't watch the NBA anymore. Apparently Donaghy's evaluations were good and his ratings were high. That has to reflect more on the NBA's current system imo. Garbage in...garbage out. |
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I agree...it's very hard to watch. But the people in the league who do know and understand - most importantly other officials - should have been able to figure out that something weird was going on...they do understand the way the league wants things called, etc...it just strikes me as very odd that everyone involved with the league is acting so surprised and shocked. How could no one have known anything??? |
One thing I've noticed in the some of the stories after Stern's news conference is that they are referring to the official being guilty of betting on games, including ones he has officiated, and providing information on games to others. There is, so far, no substantiation of actually fixing games. Perhaps that is why Stern is sure he's guilty - guilty of betting on games, not necessarily fixing games. Maybe that's why other officials seemed surprised, because there might not be any impropriety during actual games.
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Sterns words verbatim were "Donaghy is the only referee <b>alleged</b> to have bet on NBA games and disclosed confidential information to others." Donaghy <b>resigned</b> his position. He wasn't suspended or fired. He's history...by his own hand. |
Sterns also said...
"Suffice to say, we would have liked to have terminated him earlier, but our understanding was the investigation would best be aided if we did not terminate Mr. Donaghy," I can possibly understand the logic of letting him continue to work. It would be easy to convince yourself that the damage was already done and cooperating with the FBI would not make it worse. By why give him a second round playoff assignment? Why not find a reason to keep him out? From an article on the press conference... Stern also outlined the NBA's process of evaluating the officiating of every game, but conceded it had been focused more on the quality of referees' performances than searching for possible wrongdoing. That will probably change, he said. <<<bold added by me>>> Ya think? |
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And, again my point - no where is there any mention of "fixing" games, whether it is changing the point spread, or actually determining who wins or loses. |
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all in all if he was a great play recognition guy and got damn near all his plays right until one or two plays in the 4th, I can see easily how he gets to the playoffs. Plus he didn't have to fix every game. I'm sure there isn't as much betting going on when the Atlanta Hawks play the Charlotte Bobcats vs. the Spurs and the Heat. |
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He didn't continue to work. The league found out on June 20, 2007. That's more than a month after his last game. Donaghy resigned circa two weeks ago. They would like to have fired him when they found out but did not. |
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That's exactly what's being reported, that he fixed games. If you make calls to affect the number of points scored in a game, then from a gambling aspect, you have FIXED the game. How can you say there's no mention? |
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I was also under the impression it was for fixing games, point spreads, whatever. That was what most of the stories focused on initially. But that isn't what is being reported now. Maybe the gambling is all Stern knows for sure now, and that is all he needs to get Donaghy to resign. Maybe there is more behind the scenes, but it is only speculation. |
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Take a look at the article where sports gambler R.J. Bell put together some numbers on his games and the outcomes. In the two years prior to the alleged activity, TD's games beat the over 44% of the time. In the two years during the activity, his games surpassed the over 57%. The odds of that happening are 1000 to 1. There were 12 straight TD games where their was so much big money bet just before the game that the points pushed 1.5 points prior to the tip. In 10 of those 12 games, if you had bet with the money, you would had won. That's an 80% winning percentage, which is next to impossible. Sorry but I don't buy that the fix wasn't in. |
Q: To the best of your understanding, do you really feel that it's possible to determine if a referee is actually cheating, making calls that aren't real?
Stern: That's a really good question. It's very hard, but we're going to give it our best shot. There are things that you have been speculating about in the media in the last few days about the number of calls, the disparity of calls and the like. But it's hard, but we're going to do it and we'll be able to make the judgment at that time. It would not surprise me if it proves to be difficult, but I just want to say one thing here. If you bet on a game, you lose the benefit of the doubt. So I'm not going to stand here and say to you, it didn't happen, because that would impair the credibility that I think the NBA deserves for its efforts, and that's why we don't allow betting on games because as our brochure that we give to the referees says, that if you bet, then people will assume that the game is being subjected to the possibility that it would be decided by other than on its merits, and I think that's a fair point. And I will make no defense, neat criminal distinction between betting on games here and something worse. You lose the benefit of the doubt when you do it. |
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Evaluating an official's performance for a single game is a very different activity than mining evaluation and other related data for evidence of fraud or cheating. If you're not focused on the latter, I don't see where there is any reasonable expectation that you would discover it, not if it's subtle. To do so would indeed require something new. Probably an army of statistics nerds locked in a storage closet somewhere doing round-the-clock analyses on mountains of data about call selection, long term trends, what the odds were, what the outcome was, etc. In theory it should be possible to determine some kind of baseline profile for each official then spot deviations from it. Who knows, they may even be able to create the statistical equivalent of QuesTec. And I'm sure Stern would love nothing more than to have irrefutable statistical evidence that the conspiracy theorists are all wrong. Well, except maybe to have it all printed in a hefty spread sheet he can roll up and beat the hell out of Mark Cuban with the next time he goes off :D |
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Honestly, if I were in Sterns position...as soon as the whirlwind settles a bit and more details come out, I would establish a committee made up of owners and former officials to review and overhaul the officials evaluation program, to include something to detect suspect activity/trends, and make Cuban the chairman. |
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Whatinthehell do <b>owners</b> know about officiating? And make Cuban the chairman? Helluva idea. I'm sure that his Mavs would just love the officiating after he got done with it. The other teams in the league? Not so much methinks. All Cuban cares about is whether his team is gonna get their fair share of the calls that he thinks that they deserve, which is about 85% of 'em. |
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First, like it or not, the OWNERS are, or should be, the ones that dictate how things are handled in a professional league. If by no other way, than by employing a commissioner. Sterns may be powerful, but you can bet your last dollar that if he started doing things the owners didn't like they would get things changed. Second, do you really think any official in the NBA is going to do anything that may even be remotely perceived as bias? My bet is next year you will see a marked difference in how things are called. They are not going to want to be viewed as "on the take". I am not saying any others are, but it is human nature to act differently when a peer is caught up in something like this...and even though a lot here don't think they are, NBA officials are human. Lastly, If ANY owner of any team in any league is only concerned with his team then that owner is a short sighted business idiot. A team benefits when the league as a whole does well. Cuban may be a lot of things...but short sighted business idiot is not one of them. |
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NBA officials make 7-10 mistakes a game. They don't alert the fans to these mistakes, but teams are told that a mistake was made. If you watch a game and observe a no-call that you think should have been called, don't assume that's the way the NBA wants it called. It's possible that the ref didn't see it, or saw it and had a brain fart. These guys are the best, but they are not perfect. |
Screw the NBA. My faith in the integrity of the gambling industry has been shaken to the core. I don't even know if I can bet on boxing now.
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That's what I meant when I said that I don't know what a foul in the NBA is anymore. For the record, I also can't tell you how they call traveling either. One time it is, and then the exact same play a few minutes later isn't. And....that's <b>one</b> of the reasons why I personally find the current version of the NBA unwatchable. |
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2) Interesting thought, Care to explain exactly what you mean by it? <b>How</b> are things going to be changed? <b>What</b> things are going to be changed? Just <b>what</b> is going to be different in the way that the game is going to be called next year? |
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