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-   -   I guess the Big Ten ain't so bad afterall (https://forum.officiating.com/basketball/19353-i-guess-big-ten-aint-so-bad-afterall.html)

blindzebra Fri Mar 25, 2005 09:38pm

3 in the Elite 8.

JugglingReferee Fri Mar 25, 2005 09:40pm

Is NC State in there?

I heard they were up 9, then lost by 9.

I know the Heimlick.

imaref Fri Mar 25, 2005 09:43pm

ON WISCONSIN!!

wl

JRutledge Fri Mar 25, 2005 09:49pm

HEEEEEEYYYYY WISCONSIN, YOU SAID IT ALL!!!!

<a href='http://www.smileycentral.com/?partner=ZSzeb008_ZSzeb008' target='_blank'><img src='http://smileys.smileycentral.com/cat/20/20_1_8.gif' alt='' border=0></a>

Peace

blindzebra Sun Mar 27, 2005 08:01pm

Half the final 4 and Wisconsin gave NC all they could handle.

imaref Sun Mar 27, 2005 10:32pm

Tough luck for the BADGERS....game was ugly....could see the "David & Goliath" story play out. No luck with a "lucky" stone hitting UNC! (Don't know many teams that mounted a 16 - 0 run on the likes of UNC. Gotta hope MSU or Illini can get the championship. (Look out for Louisville!!!)

wl

Almost Always Right Mon Mar 28, 2005 01:48pm

Hmmm
 
Big Ten RPI - 6th
Interesting?!?!?
AAR

oatmealqueen Mon Mar 28, 2005 01:58pm

Go Green!!
 
Men's team in final four!!

Women's team in elite eight!! :)

It's a good time to be a Spartan fan.

jbduke Tue Mar 29, 2005 12:42am

The Big Ten was weak this year.
 
Using the NCAA Tournament as a metric for the strength of any conference is at best short-sighted and at worst meaningless.

Since at latest January, everybody who has followed college basketball has believed that Illinois was one of the two best teams in the country. During that period, I don't think that there was any confusion that Illinois was in the Big Televen. Illinois was rightly seeded tops in the entire tournament. They have ridden that seed to a well-deserved, but unsurprising place in the Final Four. That they have performed to seed should not change anyone's perception of the strength of Illinois's conference.


Michigan State's unexpected appearance in the Final Four has also sparked some people to question their assessment of that league. Again, I ask, why? Tom Izzo and his team deserve a tremendous amount of credit; they're the only team in the Final Four who had to go through the two highest seeds in the region other than themselves. However, that MSU is playing its best basketball right now does not change the strength of the Big Ten. Syracuse would have been a much, much worse match-up for State than Duke was, because the Spartans--contrary to their second-half performance against Kentucky--are not a very good perimeter shooting team. If Syracuse had beaten Vermont and Michigan State, no one would have been very surprised. If that had happened, we're likely looking at Syracuse, Kentucky, or Duke in the Final Four out of the South, and nobody is talking about how underrated the Big Ten was.

Again, to be clear, I'm not taking anything away from MSU. They deserve to be where they are. But they deserved to be a five-seed, too, according to Tom Izzo today on the Dan Patrick Show, because they did not acquit themselves overly well during the regular season.

Am I supposed to give the Big Ten a lot of credit because Wisconsin made the elight eight? Let's take another look at their path: first round, they beat eleventh seed Northern Iowa, one of the last two teams in the tournament. Second round, they benefit from the biggest upset of the tournament, Bucknell over Kansas. Third round, nice win, but over ten-seed NC State. So in four games, Wisconsin gets one quality win and beats two teams it was seeded above. Again, this shouldn't change anyone's perception of the strength of the Big Ten. And for those that want to talk about how well they played UNC, I propose a thought experiment. If 'Sconsin had been an eight or nine, and played Carolina tight before falling in the second round, would anyone be falling all over themselves talking about how much better the Big Ten was than the so-called experts had said? No way.

The NCAA's knock-out format is a wonderful spectacle. To see Duke and Bucknell win is why I watch. To see Duke lose is why others watch. But the Tournament shouldn't be made into something it's not. It's a very, very small sample of games, and there are too many variables at work in college basketball games to be able to paint anything close to a full picture using only sixty-four games as the data set. The tournament is designed to yield a national champion. There's no mention of 'best team.' We don't have to define that term, because it doesn't matter. What matters is who can win six (or seven) games to end the season.

Similarly, we should recognize the regular season for what it is: A long stretch of games that gives people a good idea of what they can expect, on average, from all of the teams. This is how conferences are evaluated going into the post-season, and this is more than reasonable. What's not reasonable is to look at a team's performances in a handful of games and decide because a team exceeded or fell short of their average expectation over a large sample, that your earlier assessment was in error.

The Big Ten had a weak league this year. They didn't deserve many teams. And if the teams they got in had had slightly different draws, maybe they're not playing anymore. What if Michigan State and Louisville had been 5-4 in the same region? Anybody shocked if Louisville wins that second-round game? Of course not. Should that change your assessment of the Big Ten? Of course not.

Let's all enjoy the wonderful tournament that's going on. Let's just be content to be drunk on fun basketball, and not go nuts on revising history.

blindzebra Tue Mar 29, 2005 02:26am

Re: The Big Ten was weak this year.
 
Quote:

Originally posted by jbduke
Using the NCAA Tournament as a metric for the strength of any conference is at best short-sighted and at worst meaningless.

Since at latest January, everybody who has followed college basketball has believed that Illinois was one of the two best teams in the country. During that period, I don't think that there was any confusion that Illinois was in the Big Televen. Illinois was rightly seeded tops in the entire tournament. They have ridden that seed to a well-deserved, but unsurprising place in the Final Four. That they have performed to seed should not change anyone's perception of the strength of Illinois's conference.


Michigan State's unexpected appearance in the Final Four has also sparked some people to question their assessment of that league. Again, I ask, why? Tom Izzo and his team deserve a tremendous amount of credit; they're the only team in the Final Four who had to go through the two highest seeds in the region other than themselves. However, that MSU is playing its best basketball right now does not change the strength of the Big Ten. Syracuse would have been a much, much worse match-up for State than Duke was, because the Spartans--contrary to their second-half performance against Kentucky--are not a very good perimeter shooting team. If Syracuse had beaten Vermont and Michigan State, no one would have been very surprised. If that had happened, we're likely looking at Syracuse, Kentucky, or Duke in the Final Four out of the South, and nobody is talking about how underrated the Big Ten was.

Again, to be clear, I'm not taking anything away from MSU. They deserve to be where they are. But they deserved to be a five-seed, too, according to Tom Izzo today on the Dan Patrick Show, because they did not acquit themselves overly well during the regular season.

Am I supposed to give the Big Ten a lot of credit because Wisconsin made the elight eight? Let's take another look at their path: first round, they beat eleventh seed Northern Iowa, one of the last two teams in the tournament. Second round, they benefit from the biggest upset of the tournament, Bucknell over Kansas. Third round, nice win, but over ten-seed NC State. So in four games, Wisconsin gets one quality win and beats two teams it was seeded above. Again, this shouldn't change anyone's perception of the strength of the Big Ten. And for those that want to talk about how well they played UNC, I propose a thought experiment. If 'Sconsin had been an eight or nine, and played Carolina tight before falling in the second round, would anyone be falling all over themselves talking about how much better the Big Ten was than the so-called experts had said? No way.

The NCAA's knock-out format is a wonderful spectacle. To see Duke and Bucknell win is why I watch. To see Duke lose is why others watch. But the Tournament shouldn't be made into something it's not. It's a very, very small sample of games, and there are too many variables at work in college basketball games to be able to paint anything close to a full picture using only sixty-four games as the data set. The tournament is designed to yield a national champion. There's no mention of 'best team.' We don't have to define that term, because it doesn't matter. What matters is who can win six (or seven) games to end the season.

Similarly, we should recognize the regular season for what it is: A long stretch of games that gives people a good idea of what they can expect, on average, from all of the teams. This is how conferences are evaluated going into the post-season, and this is more than reasonable. What's not reasonable is to look at a team's performances in a handful of games and decide because a team exceeded or fell short of their average expectation over a large sample, that your earlier assessment was in error.

The Big Ten had a weak league this year. They didn't deserve many teams. And if the teams they got in had had slightly different draws, maybe they're not playing anymore. What if Michigan State and Louisville had been 5-4 in the same region? Anybody shocked if Louisville wins that second-round game? Of course not. Should that change your assessment of the Big Ten? Of course not.

Let's all enjoy the wonderful tournament that's going on. Let's just be content to be drunk on fun basketball, and not go nuts on revising history.

Interesting how somebody that used WHAT IF several times is talking about revising history.:rolleyes:

By the way how many ACC teams in the Final Four.:D

jbduke Tue Mar 29, 2005 01:19pm

BZ,

If Shaq hits 16 of his next 20 free throws, are you going to change your opinion of how good a free throw shooter he is?

If so, why? If not, why not?

This is exactly the same idea.

blindzebra Tue Mar 29, 2005 01:27pm

Quote:

Originally posted by jbduke
BZ,

If Shaq hits 16 of his next 20 free throws, are you going to change your opinion of how good a free throw shooter he is?

If so, why? If not, why not?

This is exactly the same idea.

Still more IFs.

You are what you are, not what you'd be if...

Pretty simple the top of the Big Ten was as, and is as good as, any conference in the country. Unfortunately the media couldn't see anything past the Big East, ACC, and SEC to notice.;)

jbduke Tue Mar 29, 2005 02:42pm

Nobody saw this because it wasn't there. My Shaq example is not so much of an 'if' as you think. There have been plenty of instances in his career when he's had good streaks. The full sample size, however, demonstrates that he is, on the whole, a poor free throw shooter. This doesn't mean, though, that the shots he hits during streaks are worth less, or that his team never benefits from them when he's on such a streak.

Similarly, nobody's saying that Michigan State and Wisconsin didn't help themselves by playing well during the NCAA Tournament. The point is that Michigan State's performance has been exceptional, as in "an exception." Illinois, Wisconsin and Duke were the only teams State played during the regular season that rated better than an eight seed. They were 0-3 against those schools. Playing great last weekend against Duke and Kentucky doesn't change their regular season.

Your argument seems to be that the post-season paints a full picture. That is akin to looking at the results of twenty free throws for Shaq and assessing his overall performance based on that tiny sample. You get burned when your sample happens to be exceptional.

I don't understand why Michigan State, Illinois and Wisconsin fans can't simply be thrilled with their performances and stop there. They're insulting the public when they say that the last two weeks mean that everybody else's eyes were lying to them all year.

drothamel Tue Mar 29, 2005 02:51pm

Just because 3 Big 10 teams go to the elite 8 doesn't make it better than the ACC. I mean, those 3 teams are the only Big 10 teams that even had a chance and doing it. Top to bottom, the ACC is a much better league. How about this example: the Miami Heat may be the best team in the NBA, but no one would argue that the Eastern Conference is a better conference. In the case of the Big 10 vs. the ACC, three teams does not a conference make.

LDUB Tue Mar 29, 2005 03:03pm

Re: The Big Ten was weak this year.
 
Quote:

Originally posted by jbduke
Since at latest January, everybody who has followed college basketball has believed that Illinois was one of the two best teams in the country. During that period, I don't think that there was any confusion that Illinois was in the Big Televen.
Top 2? Yeah, with all those unanimous #1 rankings and being #1 for the last 15 weeks, there were plenty of people who thought they were second best.

Quote:

Originally posted by jbduke
Am I supposed to give the Big Ten a lot of credit because Wisconsin made the elight eight? Let's take another look at their path: first round, they beat eleventh seed Northern Iowa, one of the last two teams in the tournament. Second round, they benefit from the biggest upset of the tournament, Bucknell over Kansas. Third round, nice win, but over ten-seed NC State.
One of the last two teams in the tournament? They were an 11 seed not 16.

And UNC had to play a really tough schedule, far harder than Wisconsin's, don't forget that. Oakland was a tough game.

Quote:

Originally posted by jbduke
Again, this shouldn't change anyone's perception of the strength of the Big Ten. And for those that want to talk about how well they played UNC, I propose a thought experiment. If 'Sconsin had been an eight or nine, and played Carolina tight before falling in the second round, would anyone be falling all over themselves talking about how much better the Big Ten was than the so-called experts had said? No way.
I think being down by 3 with under two minutes to go is a lot more than "playing tight". UNC only won by 6.

Why are you switching around the seedings? That makes no sense. What is UNC was a 4 seed and...

Quote:

Originally posted by jbduke
I don't understand why Michigan State, Illinois and Wisconsin fans can't simply be thrilled with their performances and stop there. They're insulting the public when they say that the last two weeks mean that everybody else's eyes were lying to them all year.
I don't understand why the east coast thinks they are superior to everyone else.

drothamel Tue Mar 29, 2005 03:17pm

I don't think this is an East Coast superiority complex, although I could be wrong. I haven't heard anyone mention the fact that the ACC has consitently won the Big Ten ACC challenge. This year, in fact, the ACC won 7-2 this year. The only Big Ten winners being Illinois and Wisconsin. Michigan just missed out on beating Duke. Now, Illinois beat a very good Wake Forest team, and Wisconsin beat a decent opponent in Maryland. Other than that, the Big Ten came up empty vs. the ACC. Again, I think that Illinois is the best team in the country, and I picked them to win the National Championship, but the bottom of the Big Ten is certainly worse than the bottom of the ACC. If we are going to debate each conference's worth, we have to look at every team, not just those left standing in the Elite 8 or the Final 4.

jbduke Tue Mar 29, 2005 03:29pm

Re: Re: The Big Ten was weak this year.
 
Quote:

Originally posted by LDUB
Quote:

Originally posted by jbduke
Since at latest January, everybody who has followed college basketball has believed that Illinois was one of the two best teams in the country. During that period, I don't think that there was any confusion that Illinois was in the Big Televen.
Top 2? Yeah, with all those unanimous #1 rankings and being #1 for the last 15 weeks, there were plenty of people who thought they were second best.
---------------------------------------------------
If you read or listened to any analysis at all this season, you would know that there were plenty of people who have thought, all season, that North Carolina was better all along. Even if I stipulate that it was absolutely unanimous--that every single person in the world thought Illinois was the best team all season--the point is that Illinois has always been factored into to the Big Ten's strength all year. That they're in the Final Four now should not change anybody's thinking on the strength of the Big Ten. If it does, I hope you'll explain how.



Quote:

Originally posted by jbduke
Am I supposed to give the Big Ten a lot of credit because Wisconsin made the elight eight? Let's take another look at their path: first round, they beat eleventh seed Northern Iowa, one of the last two teams in the tournament. Second round, they benefit from the biggest upset of the tournament, Bucknell over Kansas. Third round, nice win, but over ten-seed NC State.
One of the last two teams in the tournament? They were an 11 seed not 16.
---------------------------------------------------
They were one of the last two teams to receive an at-large bid. Everybody 12 through 16 was an automatic qualifier by virtue of winning their league.

---------------------------------------------

And UNC had to play a really tough schedule, far harder than Wisconsin's, don't forget that. Oakland was a tough game.
--------------------------------------------
What a non-sequitor. Nobody's arguing about UNC. They played a weak first-round game because they earned a top seed by virtue of their regular-season performance. Do you have a problem with UNC's seeding? I have no idea what you're arguing here.

Quote:

Originally posted by jbduke
Again, this shouldn't change anyone's perception of the strength of the Big Ten. And for those that want to talk about how well they played UNC, I propose a thought experiment. If 'Sconsin had been an eight or nine, and played Carolina tight before falling in the second round, would anyone be falling all over themselves talking about how much better the Big Ten was than the so-called experts had said? No way.
I think being down by 3 with under two minutes to go is a lot more than "playing tight". UNC only won by 6.

Why are you switching around the seedings? That makes no sense. What is UNC was a 4 seed and...
--------------------------------------------------
"Played them tight," "played them within an inch of beating them," whatever. The point is that they lost; and, given their path to that game, I think that too much emphasis is being given to when it occurred in the tournament. People are trying to give the Big Ten credit for Wisconsin getting to the regional final. I'm saying that Wisconsin played to seed. If it had not been for the benefit of the biggest upset of the tournament, Wisconsin likely doesn't make it out of the second round.

I changed the seeding for the sake of the example. Given Wisconsin's seed, it would have been impossible for them to meet a top seed earlier. I created a scenario whereby Wisconsin would have faced an identical match-up two rounds earlier. You didn't respond to that point. Do you think the Big Ten would have been claiming big credit for a close loss to a top seed in the second round? Did you hear any talk about the SEC being underrated because Mississippi State gave Duke far more than they wanted in the second round?

Quote:

Originally posted by jbduke
I don't understand why Michigan State, Illinois and Wisconsin fans can't simply be thrilled with their performances and stop there. They're insulting the public when they say that the last two weeks mean that everybody else's eyes were lying to them all year.
I don't understand why the east coast thinks they are superior to everyone else.

-------------

I don't even know what this means. How can a coast, a non-thinking entity, think itself superior to anything? 99% of the games were played before this tournament started. In those 99%, it was demonstrated to almost everyone's satisfaction that the basketball being played in the ACC and Big East was, on average, better than that being played in any other conference. That's the argument I'm making. Do you disagree? If you do, then you must believe that the Big Ten was given short shrift in seeding. Given that you must believe this, I would appreciate it if you would re-seed the tournament to reflect where the regular-season juggernaut that was the Big Ten should have had its representatives seeded.

LDUB Tue Mar 29, 2005 04:07pm

Re: Re: Re: The Big Ten was weak this year.
 
Quote:

Originally posted by jbduke
I don't even know what this means. How can a coast, a non-thinking entity, think itself superior to anything?
Come on, no one is stupid enough to think I was refering to a land mass. When someone says "The south likes to eat pie", everyone knows that "the south" refers to the people who live in the south.

BBall_Junkie Tue Mar 29, 2005 04:26pm

Sigh,

Is anyone else board with this debate. We have it every year at this time and it usually involves the Big 10 v. the ACC.

Best Conference... Worst Conference it doesn't matter. The only thing that matters is the team that wins 6 straight once the tourney starts. Who ever does this may not be the best team in the country but they will be the undisputed National Champions. Just ask the people from Villanova or Georgetown back in the mid 80's. Was G'town the better team? Absoultely. Are they the National Champions of that year? Absolutely not. I would say the same analogy fits for University of Houston v. NC State. Houston was the better team who ended up in second place. It matters not who is the best overall and on paper, what matters is who gets hot and performs better than the rest when it is on the line and really matters.

I am partial to the ACC, but I have to admit the Big 10 ate our lunch this year when it was on the line. I don't have a prob giving credit where it is due.

Nuff said.


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