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Racists?
Here you go, folks.....
A few months ago there was a study out, supposedly showing that basketball officials were biased against other races. We had a loooooong thread on it over on the bball forum. Now comes a study on <i>beisbol</i> saying the exact same thing about umpires(also supposedly). Thoughts? http://www.time.com/time/health/arti...652338,00.html |
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Sad. |
That's the biggest crock of horse cacca I've seen in a long time.
A study such as this can be evaluated in anyway needed to gather "significant" evidence to support whatever your topic. 99% of statistics are biased in some way. There are very few truly unbiased studies. I'd venture to say that none of them are studies on human relations. The people conducting this study started with a goal in mind, so that's what they looked for and that's what they found. One pitch in a ball game making the difference - rarely. Bogus study to stir up ****aki. Of course that just my opinion. |
JEEzus i got enough to worry bout behind the plate sides the color of the batter! criminy poeple where do these idiots come from?
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So you're saying the fans might've actually had something on me when they called me racist? :rolleyes:
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But seriously, this part makes no sense to me. "Though his research confirms that bias exists, Hamermesh says it can be easily reduced or eliminated. When a game's attendance is particularly high, when the call is made on a full count or when ballparks use QuesTec, an electronic system that evaluates the accuracy of umpires' calls after the game, the biased behavior disappeared, according to the study. "The umpires hate those [QuesTec] systems," Hamermesh says. "When you're going to be watched and have to pay more attention, you don't subconsciously favor people like yourself. When discrimination has a price, you don't observe it as much." Right now, the QuesTec system is used in 11 of MLB's 30 ballparks, mostly in the American League." If, as the author states, the biased behavior is buried in the umpire's subconscious mind, how can paying more attention reverse this trend? If it's 'subconscious' then I'm not aware of it. Paying more attention won't help. Poppycock! |
Actually I've been a bigot longer than I have been an umpire! :D
But seriously, I have better things to worry about than if the pitcher is White, Black or Hispanic. I honestly don't even "see" the pitcher. I lock onto the ball and work pitch to pitch! This BS from time.com is just another "bait" column. You all can argue about it if you want. I have better things to worry about than racial equality or profiling in baseball! Regards |
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Yep. And all the pitchers are going to have identical outings for each umpire who works their games so that we can easily determine which of these umpires are biased on one pitch a game. Soon we will be able to predict which pitch that will be. :rolleyes: |
I find the stats a bit funky here - mainly because the study doesn't account for whether those pitchers are actually throwing more strikes. (Hell - maybe a black pitcher does better with a black backdrop of an umpire behind the plate. :rolleyes: )
If they really wanted to be accurate, they'd have to use said QuesTec data and compare called strikes/balls versus computer-determined strikes/balls. |
From the article: Hamermesh, who has studied discrimination at all levels, says that bias is instilled in infancy — much like enduring personality traits such as shyness or high self-esteem — as an essential part of human behavior. "We all have these subconscious preferences for our own group," he says.
Is it any wonder that Hamermesh (the author of the study) came up with the findings he did? Does anybody think that a guy "who has studied discrimination at all levels" is going to find anything other than discrimination everywhere he looks? Hamermesh assumes that "we all have these subconscious preferences for our own group." On what basis does he make that blanket statement? Does Hamermesh consider that some umpires might subconsciously favor a pitcher of a different race to assure themselves that they're being fair? Whenever somebody says, "Studies show . . . ," prepare a shovelful of salt. |
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As one who worked in market research, designed studies and analyzed statistical data, my opinion is that this study is more than just fundamentally flawed. |
Follow the dollar....
Enough funding to any University Department can net you a study which will find whatever statistics you want exposed.
Talk about bias! :mad: |
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I have not yet read the study, just the story, but if the story is accurate the econometrics behind the study seem to be solid. I will post a detailed look at the study. |
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I'll be the first here to admit it.
I miss more than one pitch per game. If I have a black pitcher (I'm white), and I only miss one pitch per game, I'm doing a better job for him than his counterparts. Where's the racism there? Study's an absolute joke, and now it's one more thing to have to listen to at the ballpark.... |
Hey all,
I believe, from what I have seen through my life time of 39 yrs, that ANYONE who takes their time to point out "blatant" racism with such little supporting evidence, are themselves the racist P.O.S. and are trying to cover it up by pointing out the unbelievable inequities of other people's actions. If you take a look, these types of people are in every race. Example: According to SOME blacks, because I am white, I am a racist just because what happened with slavery many years ago. A black that looks tough will get labelled as a criminal type or gang banger because of his/her looks. etc, etc.... I would bet that, if asked, the author of this article, if he is white, would say something like, " I can't be racist, some of my best friends are black." Or if not white, would say something like, "I can't be racist because I am a minority." I have found that these, among other things, are some of the bigest giveaways to someone being an open or a closet racist. LomUmp:cool: edited for spelling.... |
Reflections on Hotlanta
"Those 4 white guys throw more strikes than their opposing pitchers combined." I came to that conclusion while the Atlanta Braves amassed 13 consecutive NL league championships. My data showed a significant difference between winning and losing pitchers. :rolleyes:
There was a time when journalists were suppose to question the results of a study before printing the info. Not surprised the editors of "time/cnn" would allow this crap to be published; simple economics. Economics doesn't make any of it true. |
Imprinting Bias
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Edited: I know girls with a better understanding of basketball officiating. |
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I guess since they didn't we can safely assume he knows as much about these areas as the OP does. |
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Unfortunately, even though the results of many such studies have been debunked by the real experts in the field and the fact that many leading and Nobel winning economists continue to disown the practice, it is now being taught in some Universities that "econometrics" can be applied to every behavior in every field, and, as we have seen in this thread, graduate students of econonmics are writing their theses on most any subject but economics. |
I wonder what the study would think of me. I almost never see a player of the same race as me when I work games.
Peace |
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Bell_Curve I'm wondering how many would defend the results of that work as quickly as they would Hamermesh's results? |
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Peace |
Illogical Relationships
What are the odds:
An umpire will call more balls than strikes in a MLB game. Balls/strikes rate, or walks/strike outs rate, will identify facets of color discrimination bias. This color bias will filter through pitch selection, filter through pitcher's ability or arm strength, filter through umpire's strike zone consistency, and deliver an absolutely clear causal-effect relationship. Another econometric swing and a miss. |
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You cannot argue the validity of both results based on the method. The methods used are essentially the same. Yet they provide (apparently) 2 different results. |
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Which seems to be the consensus so far.......:) Which brings up the point......if someone calls you a racist, is it possible to prove that you aren't? |
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Sure, but not by arguing; by the example you set in what you do and what you say. Same thing as when a coach says: "You're horrible." You don't prove him wrong by arguing that you're not. You prove it with your performance. |
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How can you prove anything through performance if the person evaluating that performance still insists that it's racist? |
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If I had the Cash...
...I would sue this clown and fry his methodology until it was extra crispy.
I cannot wait for the econ grad student's analysis of what his methodology. I'd also love to read the guy's paper. He is a classic example of what is wrong with higher education in America today. You find some complicated statistical model, speak in a specialist language that a regular person doesn't have access to, then massage the data to say what you want it to say. It gets done with crime stats, so-called global warming, so why not with baseball? |
I have some statistics training and still use it from time to time in my job. What bothers me most about the article is that they mention terms like "statisitical power", "statistically significant', etc. yet they provide no degrees of freedom or probability values for their tests. In the field that I work, there's a standard convention for reporting statisitical results. Anytime you mention the word "significant" in a scientific paper, you should cite your results in some manner. I think any journal editor in my field would have torn this paper up simply on that alone.
Lawrence |
Here's the link to the paper and an associated FAQ. Note that the paper is unpublished (meaning it hasn't undergone peer review) yet.
http://www.eco.utexas.edu/faculty/Ha...istpapers.html I find the raw data of the paper to be interesting. For example, there are 25% more white batters than pitchers, 76% more hispanic batters than pitchers, and 570% more black batters than pitchers. I wonder what can drive such a disparity? (And I'm pretty sure it isn't umpires!) I can't comment on the utility or applicability of their econometric models, but the graphs which show the differences in pitcher performance (strikeouts, homeruns, hits, walks, runs, Bill James' Game Score, wins, ERA) depending on whether pitcher/umpire ethnicity matches or is different are provocative. These are just raw data; you can form your own opinion of the statistical validity. |
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White Pollyanna
The stats are in.
85 white umps called strikes 329826 times. 3 latin umps called strikes 10681 times. 5 black umps called strikes 20302 times. 85 white umps were assumed to be perfect. 3 latin umps called strikes 959 less times than an equal number of their perfect white counterparts. 5 black umps called strikes 900 more times than an equal number of their perfect white counterparts. The latin umps wanted to please everyone to prove they were up to the task. The black umps wanted to show everyone proof they were up to the task. The psychological theory behind these explanations are beyond the scope of post. Latin and black umps, taken together, were "sepera-typed" from white umps by a total of 59 called strikes. As a minority group, latin and hispanic umps perform up to the par with white umps. 59 pitches out of 30,983 pitches is roughly a 0.190% difference. The stats and methodology used in this study were perfect. There is NO racial evidence of discrimination by MLB umpires. Everyone is happy! |
just for the sake of argument here, take race out of the equation, and focus on the "bias" used in the study. i am a proud red sox fan, thus i do not like the yankees. i show up at my 15/16 yr. old game, yankees/red sox does anyone really think my "bias" will kick in? I like Reebok, hate nike, that pitcher has nike head too toe, gonna get him? we all have some bias toward something, but to say one pitch, per game shows anything relevant, is trying too get your article published. IMHO.
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Call more "biased" strikes
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Pitchers love the swinging strikes. :p Pitchers are not happy when batters foul off too many strikes. :confused: Pitchers wonder if putting the ball "in play" should be considered a strike. :) Pitchers have heart aches over 360809 called strikes versus 771314 called balls. :eek: Pitchers feel that umpires should end this type of discrimination. Benefits include: More "biased" strike calls would also shorten game. Young pitchers' stats would dominate game and appear closer to softball counterparts. The numbers of hits, hrs, and rbis would drop the "juice numbers" back below normal. There would be no steroid discussion. Huh? More money is needed to determine whether umpires are repsonsible for steroid scandal! |
The venerable NY Times has now discovered the story.......:rolleyes:
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/19/sp...ml?refs=sports |
Some of my very best friends really are black. This fact, or my mentioning it, in no way makes me a racist. There are good and bad people in all races, why single out any one particular race? I have some Mexican friends, and a female Korean friend. I hope this doesn't make me a racist. I don't know how saying "some of my best friends are black" qualifies one automatically as a racist, unless it is an untrue statement.
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Being a racist or being perceived as being racist has a lot more to do with your deeds, behavior and understanding rather than just one comment. Peace |
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I don't just have "a" black friend. I have lots of black friends, party with mostly black people, listen mostly to Crunk, Dirty South, NoCal rap and generic gangsta rap, and I sing along. I don't use the phrase "most of my friends are black" to say anything other than "most of my friends are black." But I also know not to open up my mouth around strangers and act a fool. Therein may lie the difference.:) |
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Peace |
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Some people of color find it "uncomfortable" to be singled out by a statement like that. It doesn't necessarily label one a racists, but it can be seen as a curious statement. Why would one feel they have to make that statement in the first place, is a question many have asked. Do you say that some of your best friends are white? Why not? Why do we have to identify our friends by color, race or national origin? Basically I think it an unnecessary comment. I have many friends. Period. I don't need to catagorize them for anyone. |
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Rutledge keeps on talking about my "friend" singular. I never mentioned a singular black friend. I have quite a few. My original comment was not meant to identify anybody by color, race or otherwise. It was meant to ask a question about why it was considered an automatic tag of being a racist to say that one has black friends. That was all it was meant to inquire about. |
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Peace |
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Is there any good reason to describe or catagorize your friends by color? I don't believe so. That's one reason some people tag those who say that. |
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Unless you are completely blind, people are going to see the color or race of most people they meet. I hate the term "color blind" because that means you still cannot see. I would rather see than not see. Peace |
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OK, here is a reminder of my original statement: I would bet that, if asked, the author of this article, if he is white, would say something like, " I can't be racist, some of my best friends are black." Or if not white, would say something like, "I can't be racist because I am a minority." I have found that these, among other things, are some of the bigest giveaways to someone being an open or a closet racist. The key to this being a "racist identifier", is the racist action or spoken word before it. If, like you did, Steve, just come out and say that some/most of your friends are black, it is not a statement to justify a previous action. The statement by itself means nothing. LomUmp:cool: |
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